CHICAGO — Bradford Allen, a national full-service real estate firm, today released its Q1/24 Downtown Chicago Office Market Report showing that CBD average gross asking rents held steady at $43 per square foot. At the same time, the office vacancy rate continued to rise, surpassing 21%, and demand was soft, with negative absorption of 1.4 million square feet.
Leasing volume remained below historic levels, with only 1.3 million square feet leased in the first quarter versus 2.1 million square feet in first-quarter 2023 and 4.9 million square feet in first-quarter 2019, before the pandemic. Continuing a post-pandemic trend, many tenants are seeking prebuilt, move-in ready suites. Last quarter, 38% of leases signed in the CBD were for move-in-ready space. For all of 2023, approximately 33% of leases signed were for move-in-ready suites, compared with 15% in 2019, according to Bradford Allen research.
“The distress in Chicago’s CBD office market is likely to continue as owners, lenders and tenants navigate turbulent market conditions,” said Neil Bouhan, senior managing director, research and communications, for Bradford Allen. “Our data indicates more than half of all square footage leased prior to the pandemic has not yet expired, suggesting that many companies have yet to address their actual space needs in the CBD. This is likely to result in continued downsizing. But even in this environment, owners in the financial position to reinvest in their buildings and negotiate flexible lease terms with tenants have been able to keep their assets well occupied, outperforming the overall market.”
The benefit of financial strength in this market is exemplified by Ivanhoe Capital’s $75 million repositioning of 10 and 120 S. Riverside Plaza, a two-building, 1.4 million-square-foot office complex on the Chicago River in the West Loop. After renovations, Ivanhoe leased 156,000 square feet of office space in the property last year and an additional three leases totaling 75,000 square feet so far this year, with Attorneys’ Liability Assurance Society taking the largest lease at 37,000 square feet.
Other highlights of the Bradford Allen report include:
- Bradford Allen researchers estimate there are 23 buildings in the CBD with distressed loans, almost half in the Central Loop. If interest rates remain high, the financial pressure on leveraged owners will mount as $2.8 billion of debt is set to expire by the end of 2025.
- Investment sales remained at historic lows, with only $98 million trading last quarter, in line with first-quarter 2023 but still far below the average $750 million in sales in the first quarters of 2015 through 2019. Of the $98 million that has traded so far this year, $60 million was for the sale of 150 N. Michigan Ave., which was purchased by Chicago real estate firm R2.
- The amount of sublease space on the market declined last quarter to 7 million square feet but remains at historically elevated levels. Most is large space; for example, a tenant seeking less than 10,000 square feet can only access about 9% of current sublease inventory. Meanwhile, 80% of leases signed in 2023 were for less than 10,000 square feet.
About Bradford Allen:
Bradford Allen (BA) is a commercial real estate firm based in the heart of downtown Chicago. Founded in 2003 by principals Jeffrey Bernstein and Laurence Elbaum as an office brokerage, the firm has grown into a vertically integrated commercial real estate company, offering a full array of services and expertise across multiple U.S. markets to entrepreneurial, corporate and not-for-profit clients, including strategy, marketing and transaction execution for occupiers, investors and owners. For more information, visit bradfordallen.com.
For immediate inquiries, contact Jeremy Barewin, jbarewin@taylorjohnson.com, (312) 267-4533.